YashLabs - Finance, Technology and the Pursuit of Alpha Beauty - Latest Comments

Re: “An Inconvenient Truth” wins Best Documentary Feature…

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Re: Remembering Steve Jobs and his legacy.

Daniel Milstein — Fri, 27 Jan 2012 23:56:02 -0000

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Re: Federal Agents Launch Criminal and Civil Probes into JP Morgan trading in the Silver market

Josh Nursing — Thu, 30 Sep 2010 03:07:44 -0000

The last date shows that it's 2010 and May like the post, so there's no ambiguity, especially considering the acceleration to the downside in October and then March (when else did JPM hit $15/share recently?), and if in doubt, a simple check yourself at http://www.freestockcharts.com would suffice. It would definitely be easier if Northern America used the standard & logical dd/mm/yy format, but no.

The gist of the post isn't about this being new, it's about it not being widely reported in the mainstream financial media although McGuire provided documented proof since January, and the effect on the stock if and when this does hit the aforementioned mainstream media.

Other than that, deceptions run deep, I agree, and everybody had a fair shot at discovering them since the initial stages of the Subprime crisis (definitely before as well, but with the web, it's much much more accessible).

Re: Federal Agents Launch Criminal and Civil Probes into JP Morgan trading in the Silver market

Texasovereign — Thu, 30 Sep 2010 01:45:18 -0000

It would sure be nice to know exactly what the dates are on these charts. There is several possibilities of a correct answer. It could be any of a yearly chart from 2007 thru o8 then 09 and ending on the day of May 7th, 2010. It could be a chart from the week of May 7th 2010 (less likely). It could be showing the hours of trading from 7,8,9 10 and the upcoming 11 o'clock hour. It could be the 7th, 8th, 9th months and beginning of the tenth month and some reason the 5th and 7th shown. I know it is not a chart from Oct 5th 2007 showing the prior months of 7, 8 and 9 and in one the upcoming month of 11. Can people please start posting information that can be deciphered for its intent for relaying knowledge. As it is it just confuses me when trying to put the chart in a timeline. And the reason why so much confusion about the chart dates is because I have been following this information for years now via Tim Butler and his constant letters and meetings with regulators. This is nothing new and unfortunately you are completely correct in your assesment of collusions to commit massive fraud in the markets and steal hundreds of billions of honest investors money they earned only to have it stolen by these greedy life sucking lampreys of the blackest pond scum dwellers in the history of the universe. There is not a single thing ever that compares to the greed and unholy use of the banking industry's stranglehold upon every gov't and human being on the planet and if there are aliens from other worlds among us, you can rest assured they have enslaved them as well. You have only scratched the surface of the frabricated web of deceptions the manipulators and puppet masters have entangled the people of this planet in. There is good reason why all these huge seemingly impossible to hide and cover up corruptions never get the publicity they warrant. The game is deep and far reaching by only a small few who do these things for fun and game. Suffering of another gives them pleasure and the worse it is and more widespread its effects become the happier and more daring they become in their fraudulent behaviors. You ain't seen nothing yet. When they tire of this carnage upon the inhabitants of the earth they have taken to an apocalyptic scale they will turn against each other and cause the most devastating destruction ever seen. All in good fun and the quest for power.
The people need to start remembering to tell this to their representatives now, a very simple thing to do and easy to remember. It is to tell them that corporations are NOT the people. The people are the only things of importance when it comes down to brass tacks. Not a single corporation can die or be hurt or feel pain and suffering. Only humans and other living things can. This is what they have all forgotten.

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

Josh Nursing — Fri, 24 Sep 2010 15:03:47 -0000

Getting colder now.

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

Yip Gerard — Tue, 07 Sep 2010 01:24:28 -0000

Unfortunately, I can't discuss anymore, in here. Contract restrictions. So how is the weather in Montreal?

Re: Federal Agents Launch Criminal and Civil Probes into JP Morgan trading in the Silver market

Josh Nursing — Mon, 06 Sep 2010 21:30:02 -0000

Definitely. I heard his interviews on King's World News.

Re: Federal Agents Launch Criminal and Civil Probes into JP Morgan trading in the Silver market

milktrader — Mon, 06 Sep 2010 21:11:32 -0000

Ted Butler has been on this for years, as I'm sure you are aware.

Re: Federal Agents Launch Criminal and Civil Probes into JP Morgan trading in the Silver market

milktrader — Mon, 06 Sep 2010 21:03:33 -0000

My blog detailed this hypothesis in general, but I believe Ted Butler gets the kudos for uncovering it first.

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

Josh Nursing — Tue, 17 Aug 2010 15:35:14 -0000

Being out of the market when it crashes is very different from what you were saying before, i.e. "making money out of the bear market".

Fibs: between two extremes points to see retracement levels.

Quant shops affect the markets in many ways.

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

Gerard — Mon, 16 Aug 2010 11:09:10 -0000

Stock Market Wizards is a good reference for successful traders on the bear market.
Not necessarily trading, but being out of the market when market crashes.

On Forex, how do you place your Fibonacci?

You will agree that quant traders do give the market additional momentum with successive stop orders... which is finally a wrong signal.

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

Josh Nursing — Mon, 16 Aug 2010 08:45:37 -0000

Never heard that most successful technical traders made money out of bear markets. Do you have a reference link for that?

I can be successful in both bear and bull markets especially if we have a transition from the first to the second (check the roundup of financial/macro/economic posts and the explanation with the chart, as well as the linked blog post). However, there's a very high probability strategy linked to shorting and days of high bearish sentiment can help.

No technical is enough on its own, including Fibs, but I've found Fibs to work very well with ForEx.

Anytime you are basing your analysis on numbers or a set thereof, it's quantitative. To that there are many different strategies based on what level of market structure you are analyzing. Quant strats also enable high-frequency trading which allow you to spend less time in the markets, and therefore, can be less risky. They work extremely well already, i.e. it's the present.

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

Gerard Yip — Sun, 15 Aug 2010 13:37:42 -0000

Most successful technical traders made money out of bear markets. Since i believe that you are a successful, meaning you like bear trends.

I use fibonacci to find levels in the market, and I can tell you that it is quite right, say 65% of the times. But fibonacci is not enough, I am working on another technical, the coding side is quite difficult. I am trying to input fundamental into technical.

I've always hate quant traders, but it seems that the future lies in quant...

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

Josh Nursing — Sun, 15 Aug 2010 11:10:58 -0000

What do you mean "Your Bears", Gérard?

It's not a single outcome analysis, in fact, it's an open question (we've seen low volume 'meltups' by the machines). However, most signs point to a change of trend towards the downside because you cannot have a sustained recovery unless you absorb the unemployed or underemployed workforce in producing local or exportable goods. If you read the following, we were still downtrending in the grand scheme of things "Forget a double dip, we're still in one long fall":

http://www.businessinsider.com/forget-a-double-...)

Besides, what else are they going to do other than print money: does the Fed system still exist? Have they done anything else than do this very same thing since their inception? Nothing has changed in the monetary system there. Therefore, it is a given they'll continue to do so.

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

Gerard Yip — Sun, 15 Aug 2010 04:53:08 -0000

Your "Bears" are waking up again :), had a look at various CDS, effectively, there are signs of market crash or other big fallouts.

Your analysis stands, though that I am not sure that the bear is for so soon, I mean, as long as the US don't print money again.

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

Josh Nursing — Sat, 14 Aug 2010 18:19:05 -0000

Thanks for the link, jesterx. Didn't know about that resource and the video is quite good.

Re: Are we heading into a bear market or a crash again?

jesterx — Sat, 14 Aug 2010 18:03:01 -0000

The guy that called the crash in 2008 and has been spot on is calling this legitamate. I listen to his stuff, and am now out of debt from being in his newsletter. He has some great ideas for the coming economic doldrums coming. Time to wake up people. Check out his latest youtube vid

http://www.youtube.com/watc...

Re: Clash of the Titans: Google vs Apple in 2010 and beyond

Naples web design — Fri, 13 Aug 2010 04:35:21 -0000

Those two big companies really do a good competition when it comes to their services, product reviews and applications.

@stan - microsoft and apple as ONE :D it's like saying that the fight is two versus one.

But for me, I go with Google.

Re: Apple buys music-streaming outfit Lala. Chip fight: Intel vs ARM

Josh — Fri, 30 Jul 2010 10:20:43 -0000

Certainly. Their biggest advantage is the RISC architecture, so that more is executed within a single CPU cycle. In turn, this provides for lower power consumption, which is critical for mobile devices when you're on the go.

Re: Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and manipulation of the silver markets.

Josh — Thu, 15 Jul 2010 21:24:58 -0000

Not strictly true though: http://www.yashlabs.com/wp/...

You would expect more coverage for sure, with that I agree.

Re: Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and manipulation of the silver markets.

Dontfoolwiththemasses — Fri, 09 Jul 2010 00:34:27 -0000

... and here we are five months later and we hear nada from the media. The silence is another piece of evidence indicating collusion on the part of government.
I'm not smart enough to comprehend how all this criminality works. Is there a power grab among any and all large corporations to control government, I mean we know laws are designed and created by and for the benefit of big corporations, so ...; or are the banks in control but overstepping the agreed upon amount to cheat citizens of; or does our government give total freedom to any and all corporations to rip us off at will for a cut of the action like the Don in a mafia movie.
I know one thing, and that there is consequences for their actions, corporations and government alike. There will come a day in the not too distant future when all guilty parties will realize they cannot ever leave their homes or they will be murdered by the masses. That day will come as sure as we are being lead into the greatest ugliest economic depression in the history of mankind.

Re: Is trading the BP stock ethical?

Josh Nursing — Sat, 29 May 2010 21:11:59 -0000

It will definitely take at least two months before they get the traditional relief well solution operational.

Yes that 1979 video you shared earlier on Twitter was illuminating too - history repeats itself, except the scale appears much, much larger this time.

View the BP issue in the light of "The Corporation" and it becomes very interesting as well, taking into consideration alleged bribes. Regulations have failed somewhere too.

I think Obama's involvement has appeared tardy, which will surely hurt his image.

The stock is definitely in a downtrend, not counting the odd day where it was up, but I'd still be wary of touching it directly given this market itself is very volatile and appears manipulated with very low volume. Although I do not like derivative particularly, I'd buy the puts rather than short the stock - it's less risky.

Re: Is trading the BP stock ethical?

danielharan — Sat, 29 May 2010 20:51:02 -0000

Ethically, I think we should consider revoking BP's corporate charter. That's probably unrealistic, even though it would be the correct political response to such repeated disasters.

I believe most traders are underestimating how long it will take to fix. See, for example how recent events are similar to 1979:
http://www.youtube.com/watc...

Have BP and others learned about this? Certainly not, or precautions would have been taken. As you say, it's just not in their DNA. In other words, there's a high likelihood this will take months.

A big medium-term unknown is political: how much will Obama's administration fine BP? The longer the spill continues, the more pressure for that fine to be huge.

Backstop resources like wind, solar and efficiency are growing in the double digits, benefiting from a learning curve. Meanwhile oil keeps getting more expensive to get to as less accessible sources like tar sands have to be pursued.

But that's long-term. For now, BP will continue to have high volatility based on news stories around fixing the leak and the political response.

For both of these, traders are likely to be mistaken. I'd short BP, especially when traders got optimistic.

Re: Google’s Strategy: Web meets TV, Core APIs, Tablet Computing & Mobile Ads.

Josh Nursing — Tue, 25 May 2010 08:30:58 -0000

Haha, I love how people like John Gruber and you only realize now when I wrote about it in the following post 5 months ago and a follow-up where I wrote 'Total war continues to brew between these two behemoths":

http://www.yashlabs.com/wp/...
http://www.yashlabs.com/wp/...

Not only I predicted these two companies were at war, but I also foresaw that it would last for a decade at least and that there was no place for Microsoft in it.

In addition, the first sign of war, which I wrote about on the company blog was when Eric Schmidt left the Apple board. That was it.

Thanks for the info about Simplify Media, I missed that and it will be important too. Google is already doing some good things with Google Listen and Google Reader integration.

Re: Google’s Strategy: Web meets TV, Core APIs, Tablet Computing & Mobile Ads.

Fred Brunel — Mon, 24 May 2010 18:44:01 -0000

Google also acquired Simplify Media for streaming iTunes music. The gloves are off, it's war.